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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+4.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+4.39vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+5.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+1.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-0.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.38-2.45vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-0.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16+0.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-3.84vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-3.96vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.43-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-6.36vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.52-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.35Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.04Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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13.19Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| James Beatty | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.