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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+6.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+3.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+6.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+3.87vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+1.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09-0.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.22vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52+3.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.38-4.29vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.19-4.64vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-4.95vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-4.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.13Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.48Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.06Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 41.9% |
| James Beatty | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.