Race 11B

82nd-boston-dinghy-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Katharina (KB) Knapp 3.7% 5.7% 5.0% 4.9% 6.8% 5.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 7.0% 5.9%
Charles Sinks 13.5% 12.7% 13.0% 9.4% 8.7% 7.3% 7.8% 6.3% 5.4% 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 5.3% 3.5% 5.0% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% 7.1% 7.0% 8.6% 8.3% 7.7% 6.6% 4.9%
Robby Gearon 5.1% 7.0% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 6.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 5.2% 2.7%
Jan Kite-Powell 4.3% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 5.6% 7.1% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 7.1% 7.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.5% 4.3%
James Beatty 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 9.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.9% 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.8% 4.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Peter Christensen 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 2.7% 4.0% 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.7% 9.5% 15.6% 17.3%
Alexander Stewart 13.1% 11.6% 10.0% 9.8% 9.5% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 5.1% 5.3% 4.2% 2.9% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Duncan Williford 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 5.9% 9.1% 7.6% 8.0% 6.7% 6.9% 5.8% 7.6% 6.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.0%
Thomas Balk 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 10.8% 11.5% 8.9%
Stewart Draheim 6.5% 6.5% 5.5% 8.1% 5.0% 5.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.0% 5.8% 7.9% 7.9% 5.3% 5.0% 1.5%
Sam Alexander 5.5% 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 5.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.2% 5.5%
Dakota Northrup 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 7.2% 6.9% 6.3% 7.6% 8.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.2% 5.2% 4.1% 4.5% 1.8%
Christopher Weis 6.3% 5.2% 4.9% 7.0% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 6.0% 8.2% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 5.4% 3.0%
Nicholas Karnovsky 7.1% 7.6% 6.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 4.3% 3.0% 0.7%
Hannah Schmidt 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 2.5% 4.5% 3.9% 7.5% 8.5% 15.2% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.