Race 1A

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carolyn Naughton 11.7% 13.6% 14.4% 13.4% 15.7% 14.3% 11.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 12.7% 13.3% 15.0% 14.5% 8.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 22.3% 21.5% 16.9% 15.1% 10.7% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tucker Blagden 14.0% 13.9% 14.1% 13.5% 15.5% 12.5% 9.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Christopher Price 14.7% 13.9% 13.4% 14.4% 12.0% 11.8% 12.2% 5.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 15.2% 16.4% 16.2% 14.8% 12.0% 10.5% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 7.8% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 12.4% 14.1% 18.0% 15.2% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Ann Sager 2.2% 1.3% 2.4% 3.8% 4.4% 6.8% 11.4% 25.1% 24.2% 15.0% 3.4%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 8.7% 20.0% 27.9% 33.2%
Ian Witt 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 4.3% 3.7% 16.1% 26.3% 28.2% 14.4%
Hunter Archibald 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.5% 1.2% 2.9% 6.2% 13.2% 25.8% 48.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.