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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+5.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+1.66vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.01+5.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.96+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+6.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-0.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+0.82vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.66+0.51vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-4.39vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.82-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-4.03vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.49-3.11vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.09-2.59vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.89-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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4.66Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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9.37Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.89Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.41Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Downey | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 25.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 25.5% |
| Ed Lebens | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.