← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.75+5.50vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.94vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.69+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.49+6.06vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.66+4.50vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.82-0.51vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.91-2.07vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.83+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.01-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.96-5.15vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.13+0.11vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.05-3.96vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.09-1.84vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.89-5.20vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College1.82-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.5Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
4.68Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
-
5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.91Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.06Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
-
10.5Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.49Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.93Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.8University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.26Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.85Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
12.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
12.16Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
-
9.8Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
-
9.97Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 16.6% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 11.2% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Jack McGraw | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Downey | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 25.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Webster | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 24.3% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.