← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.35+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.82+4.32vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.83+5.96vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.75+1.63vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.96-0.02vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.89+2.70vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.69-1.32vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.66+1.40vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.49+1.12vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.91-4.97vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.05-2.93vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College1.82-3.17vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-1.95vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.01-5.69vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.09-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
-
6.32Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.96University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
6.63Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.98Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.7Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
-
6.68Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
11.12Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.03Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.07University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.83Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.05University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.31Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.37Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGraw | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ed Lebens | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin Richards | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Julia Downey | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 22.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.