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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.89+7.49vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.82+6.88vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+6.60vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.49+6.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.96-0.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-0.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.14vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69-2.28vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.01-0.67vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.91-4.97vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-5.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.09-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-4.25vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.73vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.05-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.88Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.06Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.33Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% |
| Charles Skoda | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 24.5% |
| Peter Girard | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Julia Downey | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 25.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.