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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+5.08vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+3.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.89+5.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-1.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+1.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96-3.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05-1.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.09+0.83vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.01-3.02vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.82-3.47vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-3.08vs Predicted
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16Yale University-0.08-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.98Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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14.57Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 13.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Peirson | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Julia Downey | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 14.6% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.