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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+3.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+1.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-1.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.96-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+0.52vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.89-0.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.66-0.91vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.82-2.39vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.01-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-2.29vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.09-2.99vs Predicted
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16Yale University-0.08-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.64Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.61Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.88Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
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12.01Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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14.6Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Peter Girard | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Peirson | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Julia Downey | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 11.1% |
| Samuel Webster | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 12.6% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 15.3% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.