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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.36vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+3.64vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.96+1.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.09+7.01vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.89+3.43vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.82+2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+1.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+1.11vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.91-4.03vs Predicted
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11Yale University-0.08+3.34vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.01-3.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.22vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-7.93vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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12.01Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.69Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.97Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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14.34Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.92Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 12.9% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Peirson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Peter Girard | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 59.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Julia Downey | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.