← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.75+5.33vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.89+7.25vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.82+3.20vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.91+2.05vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35-0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.05+2.88vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.66+3.20vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.69-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.96-3.32vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.83-0.34vs Predicted
-
11Washington College2.01-2.10vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-6.09vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University1.09-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.82-4.51vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara1.13-3.11vs Predicted
-
16Yale University-0.08-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.25Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
-
6.2Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.05Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
4.62Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
-
8.88University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.2Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.51Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.68Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
-
9.66University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.9Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.88Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
-
9.49Eckerd College1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.130.0%1st Place
-
14.55Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Webster | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 11.4% |
| Samuel Peirson | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Julia Downey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 11.9% |
| Patrick Buehler | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 13.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.