Race 11C

82nd-boston-dinghy-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Wade Waddell 17.3% 14.9% 13.8% 11.4% 11.0% 6.9% 7.0% 5.1% 4.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Digiovanni 9.5% 10.5% 9.3% 7.6% 8.4% 8.7% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 6.8% 5.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Julia Downey 2.2% 1.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 7.8% 7.3% 11.0% 15.3% 18.8% 11.7%
Franco Bilik 6.8% 9.5% 7.1% 9.0% 8.6% 7.4% 9.1% 9.4% 7.6% 6.6% 5.5% 6.2% 3.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Jack Bitney 9.3% 9.7% 7.9% 11.3% 9.0% 9.6% 7.6% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 5.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Cutter O'Connell 9.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 9.7% 7.1% 6.3% 5.1% 5.7% 3.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack McGraw 11.0% 10.7% 9.9% 10.2% 8.8% 8.5% 7.1% 8.9% 7.7% 5.9% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 3.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.9% 11.2% 11.8% 9.6% 3.9%
Peter Girard 3.5% 3.2% 5.6% 3.5% 3.7% 5.9% 6.3% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.4% 12.8% 9.1% 7.3% 7.4% 3.0%
Josh Dochoda 10.2% 8.7% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 9.6% 9.5% 9.1% 6.6% 4.8% 5.1% 2.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Colin Richards 4.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.4% 8.5% 9.7% 7.8% 10.0% 7.2% 3.8% 2.0%
Matthew McDermaid 4.2% 4.2% 4.4% 6.0% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 9.1% 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 7.2% 1.4%
Samuel Webster 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.9% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 4.7% 6.8% 6.7% 11.4% 14.6% 20.3% 11.5%
Samuel Peirson 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 6.2% 5.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 9.7% 7.9% 10.3% 8.6% 10.4% 7.3% 2.5%
Patrick Buehler 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 7.3% 13.6% 61.9%
Ed Lebens 3.4% 2.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 6.2% 8.4% 9.0% 7.5% 9.4% 10.4% 8.7% 7.2% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.