Race 2A

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tucker Blagden 13.6% 12.9% 14.7% 14.9% 15.3% 14.2% 8.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 10.5% 8.7% 13.0% 12.7% 13.1% 15.0% 15.9% 7.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 13.0% 12.5% 12.7% 14.9% 14.0% 11.9% 13.3% 5.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 22.7% 20.8% 15.8% 15.0% 11.8% 7.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 6.4% 8.6% 7.3% 8.4% 9.6% 14.5% 19.8% 15.7% 7.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Christopher Price 13.0% 14.0% 13.7% 15.1% 14.2% 11.8% 9.8% 6.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 5.7% 10.2% 26.0% 24.4% 13.1% 4.4%
Trevor Burd 15.8% 17.5% 17.7% 12.7% 12.0% 12.8% 6.7% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Paul Hildebrand 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 1.7% 4.5% 8.2% 19.2% 28.5% 32.7%
Ian Witt 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 14.9% 26.8% 28.7% 14.2%
Hunter Archibald 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 2.6% 6.6% 12.8% 25.9% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.