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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+9.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.54vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+4.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.16vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+2.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.38vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.09-3.82vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.57+1.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.93vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.61-5.32vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.21-1.01vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-7.20vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.12vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-8.61vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.44Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.22Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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6.18College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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12.12George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.8University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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16.38SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rhodes Garner | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Austin Powers | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 12.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 11.8% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.