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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+6.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.57+9.23vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+4.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.16vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-2.46vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.96vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.44vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-3.32vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.90vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.61-5.53vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-6.96vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-5.41vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.35vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.54College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.56Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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15.65SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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12.61Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Rhodes Garner | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 4.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 66.4% |
| Austin Powers | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 22.5% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.