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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+3.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+4.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+3.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.76vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+1.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-5.24vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.60vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.25vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University2.21-3.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.57-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.56College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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15.6SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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12.64Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 66.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Austin Powers | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 12.6% |
| Rhodes Garner | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.