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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+9.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+6.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+4.16vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.77vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+3.69vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+5.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-1.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.40vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.48vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-3.17vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.85-3.32vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-6.14vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.54-3.91vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-2.11vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.91vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.78-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.19Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.68College of Charleston2.850.1%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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13.89Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.09SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Conner Harding | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Charles Miller | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Carter Cameron | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 24.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 41.1% |
| Sam White | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.