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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+6.91vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+5.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+5.34vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26+1.98vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+4.62vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.92vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.74vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.15vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.24vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.85-2.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-5.60vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.78-4.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.98vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.82-2.80vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.71Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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11.62Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston2.850.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.35SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Carter Cameron | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 24.1% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.