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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+7.94vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+5.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.19vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78+4.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.67vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+4.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-2.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-2.94vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.85-2.69vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-5.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.26-6.17vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.82-1.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.06vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.61Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.19Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.59Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston2.850.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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13.03Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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14.3SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Charles Miller | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Carter Cameron | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 25.2% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.