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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.65vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+2.86vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.49+0.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.51-0.93vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.03vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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2.65U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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5.86Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.09Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.7% | 26.5% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.3% | 25.8% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 31.6% | 42.4% |
| George White | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 26.3% | 16.5% | 3.4% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 14.2% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.7% | 21.3% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 29.5% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.