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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.64vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.49+1.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.51-0.97vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.06vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.77-4.64vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.36George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 20.6% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.2% | 25.6% | 23.4% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| George White | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 25.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 34.5% | 42.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.5% | 26.3% | 20.1% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 28.5% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.