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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.49+2.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.06vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.51-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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2.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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5.96Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.11William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.89Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.8% | 26.7% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| George White | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 26.0% | 15.1% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 23.1% | 26.3% | 23.7% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 21.3% | 19.9% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 34.7% | 42.9% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 30.8% | 49.8% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 27.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.