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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.49+1.06vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+1.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.26vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-4.06vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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2.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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6.0William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 36.2% | 26.4% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 27.2% | 12.9% | 3.0% |
| George White | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 26.1% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Gibson | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 34.5% | 43.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 23.3% | 25.8% | 22.2% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 20.7% | 21.3% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 29.5% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.