Race 3A

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Sturges 8.3% 10.8% 10.0% 13.0% 15.1% 16.0% 14.9% 8.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 25.5% 20.9% 17.3% 14.6% 9.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Price 12.0% 12.9% 15.8% 11.9% 13.6% 14.2% 12.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 14.3% 15.1% 15.3% 14.1% 14.5% 12.5% 8.5% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 13.5% 14.5% 13.9% 14.2% 13.6% 11.1% 12.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Tucker Blagden 14.5% 14.6% 14.5% 15.7% 12.9% 11.1% 10.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 7.3% 7.2% 7.8% 9.9% 11.9% 14.8% 16.6% 15.5% 7.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Ann Sager 2.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 9.6% 26.1% 24.2% 14.9% 3.4%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 8.9% 20.6% 27.6% 33.2%
Ian Witt 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 3.8% 5.2% 14.9% 26.3% 28.2% 14.4%
Hunter Archibald 0.6% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.8% 1.0% 2.9% 6.1% 13.1% 25.9% 48.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.