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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.07vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.49+0.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.51-0.91vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06-1.08vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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2.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.09Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.92Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.8% | 27.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.5% | 24.0% | 24.9% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.7% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| George White | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 28.1% | 14.8% | 3.5% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 35.0% | 40.9% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 29.0% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.