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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.63vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.49+1.06vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.51+0.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.01vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.87vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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2.63U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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6.13William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.82Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 35.7% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.5% | 23.7% | 23.4% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| George White | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 3.3% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 25.1% | 15.4% | 3.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 18.5% | 22.8% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 30.0% | 51.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.