← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.77+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.49+2.01vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.09vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.30vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.51-0.89vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary-0.26-0.87vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-0.06-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
-
4.01Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
-
2.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
-
2.7U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
-
4.11Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.13William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.82Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.7% | 27.9% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| George White | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 26.9% | 13.1% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 20.2% | 22.8% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.1% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 25.3% | 14.9% | 4.8% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 30.2% | 50.7% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 34.5% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.