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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.51+1.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.33vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.49-0.92vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.06vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.02Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.11William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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2.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.6% | 27.0% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 26.2% | 13.6% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 24.2% | 25.3% | 23.8% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| George White | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 28.2% | 14.6% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 33.4% | 42.7% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 31.1% | 49.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 23.3% | 21.5% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.