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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.08vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.51+0.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.49-0.90vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.26+0.13vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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2.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.1Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.13William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.83Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.7% | 27.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.7% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.9% | 23.6% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 27.8% | 14.4% | 3.5% |
| George White | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 25.5% | 15.2% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 29.4% | 51.3% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 34.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.