← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.67vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.51+1.99vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.08vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.49+0.07vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.77-2.62vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.06vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.26-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.67U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
-
3.99Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
-
2.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
-
4.07Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
-
2.38George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
-
5.94Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
6.03William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.9% | 26.0% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 25.9% | 12.6% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 21.5% | 20.0% | 23.3% | 19.6% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| George White | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 28.2% | 14.5% | 4.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 32.5% | 27.0% | 20.2% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 35.4% | 41.4% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 29.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.