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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.34vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.51+2.01vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.49+1.05vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.04vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06-0.05vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.50-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.05Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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2.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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5.95Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.11William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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2.59U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.7% | 26.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 26.2% | 13.7% | 3.3% |
| George White | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 27.1% | 15.0% | 3.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.3% | 22.0% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 33.8% | 42.9% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 30.5% | 49.6% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.6% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.