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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.66vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77-0.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.49+0.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.51-1.92vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.89vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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2.66U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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2.33George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.08Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.11William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.82Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 21.3% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.8% | 24.4% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.0% | 26.8% | 22.5% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| George White | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 27.9% | 14.4% | 3.6% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 22.6% | 25.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 29.5% | 51.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 34.3% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.