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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+0.32vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.51+1.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.49+0.05vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.01vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06-1.08vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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2.32George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.05Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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2.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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5.92Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.01William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.2% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 35.1% | 25.5% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 8.4% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 25.8% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| George White | 8.0% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 26.6% | 14.5% | 4.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.0% | 22.4% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 36.1% | 40.5% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 28.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.