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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+1.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.64vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.49+1.06vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+0.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.02vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.51-2.96vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3George Washington University2.770.4%1st Place
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2.64U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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4.06Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 37.1% | 24.8% | 18.7% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 25.8% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| George White | 8.0% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 27.8% | 13.6% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Gibson | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 33.9% | 43.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 17.7% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 3.3% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 28.5% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.