Race 4A

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tucker Blagden 13.1% 14.1% 14.2% 14.1% 17.3% 12.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Price 12.5% 15.1% 13.2% 15.0% 13.4% 13.8% 9.8% 4.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 14.6% 14.5% 15.2% 14.9% 14.4% 11.7% 9.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 9.6% 9.8% 9.9% 13.6% 13.4% 15.3% 13.9% 10.5% 3.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 25.4% 19.5% 18.7% 14.7% 7.7% 6.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 5.8% 7.4% 8.1% 7.5% 12.6% 13.1% 21.7% 13.9% 7.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Carolyn Naughton 14.9% 15.8% 14.6% 14.3% 12.3% 13.1% 9.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 4.6% 6.8% 10.7% 26.5% 23.4% 14.9% 3.5%
Ian Witt 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 5.0% 14.3% 26.4% 28.5% 15.8%
Paul Hildebrand 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6% 3.4% 10.0% 19.7% 30.0% 29.7%
Hunter Archibald 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 5.7% 13.1% 23.4% 50.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.