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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.07vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+2.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.49-0.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.77-3.64vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.26-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63U. S. Naval Academy2.500.3%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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6.0Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.11Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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2.36George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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6.01William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 26.0% | 26.4% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Tuckerman Jones | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 22.0% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 3.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 19.8% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 35.7% | 42.9% |
| George White | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 27.6% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 34.4% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Powers | 1.5% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 30.0% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.