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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.51+3.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.77-1.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.49-0.87vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06-1.09vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.26-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Georgetown University1.510.1%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Naval Academy2.500.2%1st Place
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2.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.2%1st Place
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2.36George Washington University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.13Old Dominion University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.91Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.0William and Mary-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuckerman Jones | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 24.6% | 25.9% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 21.2% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 33.3% | 26.3% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George White | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 21.1% | 27.3% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 35.1% | 40.3% |
| Daniel Powers | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 28.4% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.