Race 5A

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 23.3% 21.1% 16.8% 15.3% 10.5% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sturges 10.4% 9.9% 12.0% 12.3% 14.6% 15.1% 13.6% 7.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Christopher Price 12.5% 13.4% 13.1% 13.6% 13.2% 14.9% 11.9% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 14.1% 13.4% 15.9% 16.1% 14.5% 12.4% 8.3% 4.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily McNeil 6.1% 8.4% 7.5% 8.3% 10.3% 14.1% 18.4% 16.7% 8.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Tucker Blagden 14.4% 14.4% 15.7% 15.0% 12.4% 11.3% 9.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Carolyn Naughton 14.9% 15.6% 13.6% 13.8% 14.2% 11.4% 10.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.1% 1.5% 3.4% 3.0% 4.8% 5.7% 12.5% 25.6% 22.8% 15.4% 3.2%
Ian Witt 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 5.1% 14.4% 25.5% 27.7% 16.9%
Hunter Archibald 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 3.0% 5.9% 13.3% 21.3% 52.5%
Paul Hildebrand 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 8.5% 21.3% 32.1% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.