← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland0.86+0.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-1.05+1.00vs Predicted
-
3Ocean County College-0.80-0.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy-1.95-0.02vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-1.96-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-4.22-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.41University of Maryland0.860.7%1st Place
-
3.0University of Delaware-1.050.1%1st Place
-
2.74Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
-
3.98U. S. Military Academy-1.950.0%1st Place
-
4.1Princeton University-1.960.0%1st Place
-
5.77Syracuse University-4.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Thomas | 69.5% | 21.5% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 10.1% | 27.1% | 28.5% | 22.3% | 11.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Boland | 13.9% | 30.9% | 29.6% | 19.5% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Jesse Whipple | 3.8% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 26.1% | 38.1% | 4.2% |
| Evan Trauger | 2.4% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 27.6% | 37.1% | 7.6% |
| Marisa Freedman | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.