Race 1B

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Meghan Pesch 14.5% 18.0% 16.3% 14.5% 14.1% 11.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 11.9% 14.2% 13.5% 14.3% 13.2% 12.5% 11.5% 6.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 11.8% 12.3% 12.4% 14.4% 14.2% 14.0% 12.0% 6.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 25.8% 19.0% 19.3% 14.3% 10.4% 6.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Remeika 12.5% 11.0% 11.7% 11.9% 13.7% 12.9% 14.9% 7.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.7% 11.2% 11.0% 11.5% 14.0% 14.2% 14.1% 10.0% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1%
John Duncan 10.2% 9.7% 10.1% 12.7% 11.2% 15.6% 15.0% 10.0% 4.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Terry Clarke 1.8% 1.0% 2.2% 1.5% 2.9% 5.1% 8.5% 20.3% 27.3% 27.9% 1.5%
Melinda Moynihan 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 6.5% 17.6% 28.3% 29.8% 3.4%
Alexander Francis 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.6% 7.0% 17.2% 25.4% 34.9% 1.9%
Alan Sanders 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.7% 4.0% 93.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.