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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.44+1.07vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81-0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.29+0.91vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27-0.07vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.36-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Washington1.4434.2%1st Place
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1.75Western Washington University1.8148.0%1st Place
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3.91University of Washington-0.296.2%1st Place
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3.93Oregon State University-0.275.5%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University-0.514.3%1st Place
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5.13University of Oregon-1.361.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Juan | 34.2% | 37.1% | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 48.0% | 34.4% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 6.2% | 9.6% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 25.9% | 12.0% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 5.5% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 27.1% | 24.2% | 12.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.3% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 24.8% | 28.0% | 18.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.8% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.