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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine1.06+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-0.46vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+0.37vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of California at Irvine1.060.3%1st Place
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1.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.6%1st Place
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3.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MacLean | 30.7% | 45.1% | 19.6% | 4.6% |
| Dylan Finestone | 57.3% | 32.7% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Dallas Butler | 6.4% | 7.8% | 28.5% | 57.3% |
| Shea Walker | 5.6% | 14.4% | 43.0% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.