Race 2B

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Duncan 6.4% 10.5% 8.8% 11.7% 12.3% 16.6% 16.8% 11.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 28.1% 20.3% 17.0% 14.4% 9.8% 5.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Pesch 15.2% 15.7% 16.9% 15.0% 13.0% 11.9% 8.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.8% 8.3% 11.2% 11.5% 14.4% 14.9% 15.4% 10.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Christopher Remeika 11.0% 12.2% 12.8% 14.2% 11.8% 12.6% 15.0% 7.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 12.4% 13.7% 14.6% 13.2% 13.5% 13.2% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Sarah Fiske 13.7% 14.6% 13.9% 13.0% 14.8% 12.4% 10.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Terry Clarke 1.8% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 7.3% 20.6% 28.4% 27.3% 1.5%
Alexander Francis 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 5.5% 15.6% 28.3% 34.4% 3.8%
Melinda Moynihan 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 3.9% 4.8% 6.8% 19.9% 25.2% 30.8% 1.6%
Alan Sanders 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 1.7% 4.0% 93.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.