← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+0.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine1.06-0.02vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+0.36vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.38-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.6%1st Place
-
1.98University of California at Irvine1.060.3%1st Place
-
3.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.1%1st Place
-
3.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 58.3% | 31.2% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Brian MacLean | 29.6% | 46.8% | 19.1% | 4.5% |
| Dallas Butler | 5.9% | 9.0% | 28.2% | 56.9% |
| Shea Walker | 6.2% | 13.0% | 43.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.