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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+3.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77+2.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-0.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-1.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.56vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85-5.06vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.62-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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3.94Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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9.83Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 2.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 14.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Andersen | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 46.3% | 4.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 17.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.