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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+4.26vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+2.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85-0.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-0.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-1.96vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51-2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-1.51vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.62-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.92Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.2%1st Place
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4.6Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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9.82Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 15.7% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 17.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Reed Lorimer | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 45.4% | 5.3% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.