Race 3A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Henry Dumke 18.3% 16.2% 14.1% 13.3% 10.9% 10.3% 9.0% 5.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 9.9% 9.1% 12.1% 12.4% 10.8% 11.3% 14.1% 11.4% 8.2% 0.7%
Quinn Andersen 14.1% 14.1% 12.2% 12.5% 14.5% 13.2% 8.9% 7.2% 3.1% 0.2%
Stephen Duncan 15.1% 16.2% 13.9% 13.8% 12.8% 9.9% 9.0% 6.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Reed Lorimer 12.4% 11.2% 13.3% 11.9% 12.1% 13.0% 11.6% 9.5% 4.5% 0.5%
Julien Guiot 13.5% 10.5% 11.5% 11.8% 13.5% 11.7% 11.2% 10.3% 5.6% 0.4%
Dylan Farrell 8.5% 12.2% 11.8% 12.5% 11.9% 12.3% 13.5% 12.3% 4.3% 0.7%
Vincent Yannelli 5.1% 7.4% 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 10.9% 12.5% 19.2% 20.1% 2.2%
Kevin Leddy 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 9.2% 15.5% 42.3% 8.9%
Jeremy Welsch 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.9% 6.9% 85.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.