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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+3.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+2.12vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77+2.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-1.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.38-2.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.48-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-1.45vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.94-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.2%1st Place
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4.01Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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4.64Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.94Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.68Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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9.65Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 16.5% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 3.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Julien Guiot | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 43.8% | 8.4% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 7.9% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.