← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Remeika 9.2% 11.9% 12.6% 11.7% 14.5% 16.0% 13.4% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Meghan Pesch 18.3% 15.0% 16.3% 16.0% 12.1% 11.3% 7.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 22.9% 22.6% 19.0% 13.3% 9.6% 7.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 12.6% 12.4% 11.8% 14.9% 14.6% 12.2% 12.0% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 13.6% 13.4% 12.5% 13.7% 13.6% 11.9% 12.8% 6.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
John Duncan 8.2% 9.0% 11.2% 11.1% 13.0% 15.7% 14.3% 10.5% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 10.7% 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 14.7% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Alexander Francis 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 6.6% 18.0% 28.5% 32.1% 1.8%
Melinda Moynihan 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0% 3.6% 3.5% 6.9% 17.5% 28.4% 29.4% 3.6%
Terry Clarke 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 2.5% 4.8% 8.7% 18.5% 25.5% 30.8% 1.6%
Alan Sanders 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.8% 4.1% 92.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.