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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.29+3.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.72+1.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+0.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+0.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.41-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12-2.23vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.09+0.41vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.21-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.21-1.74vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-3.15-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University2.720.2%1st Place
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3.09Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.33Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont2.030.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.41Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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8.35McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.26University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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10.85Middlebury College-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Remeika | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 18.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 22.9% | 22.6% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Duncan | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Francis | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 18.0% | 28.5% | 32.1% | 1.8% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 17.5% | 28.4% | 29.4% | 3.6% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 25.5% | 30.8% | 1.6% |
| Alan Sanders | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 92.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.