← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.20+4.02vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.85+1.75vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+4.34vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.70-0.02vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.36-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.24vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.55-0.58vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.38-3.42vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.77-3.08vs Predicted
-
10Rutgers University-0.94-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
-
3.75Boston College2.850.2%1st Place
-
7.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
-
3.98Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
-
4.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.2%1st Place
-
6.42Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
4.58Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
-
9.59Rutgers University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 18.7% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Leddy | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 37.1% | 8.8% |
| Quinn Andersen | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Duncan | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Farrell | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 2.4% |
| Jeremy Welsch | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.